The Warning Track: Power Rankings, Week 10

The Warning Track is a blog that covers all things Major League Baseball on a weekly basis, from discussing why some teams are getting hot, who’s in line for awards at season’s end and who is getting ready to make the leap to contender status, as well as off-the-field issues like first-time Commissioner Rob Manfred, which players could be headed to new homes, and A-Rod’s latest conundrum. 

If you have anything MLB-related that you would like to see discussed in the upcoming edition of The Warning Track, or have any comments at all, you may suggest/comment/rant/agree/disagree/tell me I know nothing about baseball at any time on Twitter @RealDavidLynch. 

 

All statistics are entering play on Saturday, June 13th

Fab Five

It was a week of regression for many teams who have been off to scorching starts through the first two months of the season as we are just past the one-third mark of the 2015 campaign, inevitably leading to some fresh faces among the Fab Five.

The Redbirds hold on to the top spot once again, but just barely. After dominating the Dodgers last weekend, taking 3 of 4 from the team with the second-best mark at home, the Cardinals stumbled a bit in Colorado, winning only one of three games in that set while giving up 17 runs. They’re off to a good start back home against the AL-leading Royals, having won the first game of that series 4-0 on Friday to become the first team in the majors to 40 victories.

Time will tell whether the Cardinals will be able to weather yet another injury, this one arguably the most impactful.

Lance Lynn, one of the Cardinals’ most durable starters, is also experiencing some forearm tightness and will be out for at least a couple weeks, leading to some more starts by Tyler Lyons that the offense may or may not have to win.

Meanwhile, the Houston Astros have fallen plummeted back to Earth after their surprising start, losing six straight before halting that streak against Seattle on Friday. A couple of blown leads by the bullpen as well as a rough offensive stretch where they only managed to score more than two runs once over that 6-game losing streak has them out of the Fab Five for the first time in quite a while, being replaced by a Pirates squad that has been on fire for a month now as they make their 2015 Fab Five debut.

The Bucs will arguably be the NL Central club that will give the Cardinals the most fits in the long run, and the only way they’ll be able to do that in the short term will be to keep winning, seeing as they don’t face the Cardinals again until mid-July. Their pitching has been incredible, tossing three shutouts over the past week to lower their team ERA to 2.90, only one of two teams in the bigs to have a team ERA besides….who else, the Cardinals at 2.66.

A 9-game winning streak by the Toronto Blue Jays has them holding the honor of being the hottest team in baseball by far as they make a move in the ultra-tight AL Eas. Toronto leads the majors in offense by 60 total runs, having scored 338 to the Yankees’ 278. They’ve scored 6 or more runs in 8 of 10 games in June, and double-digit runs twice in their last four runs. Oh and they’ve only given up more than three runs twice over that span. Those numbers will you to make your debut on the Fab Five.

Despite being 5-5 over their last ten games, the Royals stay in the Fab Five due to most of those being tight contests; 6 decided by two runs or less. A sweep of a strong and surprising Minnesota Twins team on the road reasserted them as top dogs of the American League after dropping two consecutive series. Salvador Perez (8-for-26) and Mike Moustakas (10-for-23) had strong offensive weeks for Kansas City, but they’ll need their bats to show up in St. Louis this weekend if they want to make a statement against the best record in the bigs.

A medicore couple of weeks by the Nationals (2-8 in their last ten, 3-11 since May 29th) has dropped the team many have pegged to win the World Series out of the Fab Five, reflecting the relative struggles of Washington’s star Bryce Harper (3 home runs and 6 RBI in 11 games in June compared to 5 dingers in the last 11 games in May).

So their place in the rankings is swapped with the Yankees, who reenter the Fab Five after reemerging as a force in the AL East by sweeping the Mariners and Angels to begin the month. They’ve given up only 2.6 runs per game to opponents in 7 June victories (out of 9 total games) and are scoring 5.4 runs in those same matchups.

Alex Rodriguez (.275, 11 home runs, 30 RBI) continues to be a surprisingly pivotal component of the Yankees lineup as his march to 3,000 hits continues, but it’s Brian McCann (6-for-18, 5 RBI over last 4 games) and Mark Teixeira (8-for-26, 4 runs, 5 RBI over last 7 games) that have helped spark the Bronx Bombers’ offensive surge of late. Upcoming series’ against the slumping Tigers and Astros will give the Yankees a chance to get some breathing room in the AL East, where just 3 games separates New York, Tampa Bay, Toronto and Baltimore, all playing at least .500 ball.

1. St. Louis Cardinals (40-21, 1st in the NL Central)

Ranking two weeks ago: 1

Last ten games: 7-3

Telling stats: MLB-best 2.66 team ERA, MLB-best 2.99 starter ERA, second in MLB in bullpen ERA (1.97), 4th in the NL in team average (.262), 3rd in MLB in doubles (113), 5th in MLB in WHIP (1.21), MLB-best 23-7 record at home    

 

2. Pittsburgh Pirates (33-27, 2nd in the NL Central)

Ranking two weeks ago: Not ranked

Last ten games: 7-3

Telling stats: 4th in MLB in doubles (111), 2nd in MLB in team ERA on the road (2.90), 2nd in MLB in ERA with RISP (9.13), 1 epic shutout  

 

3. Toronto Blue Jays (32-30, 3rd in the AL East)

Ranking two weeks ago: Not ranked

Last ten games: 9-1

Telling stats: MLB-best 338 runs scored, 4th in MLB in batting average (.268), 3rd in MLB in average with RISP (.295), 1st in MLB in average against lefties (.310), 4th in MLB on home runs (76), MLB-best .782 team OPS, MLB-best 131 doubles,

 

4. Kansas City Royals (34-24, 1st in the AL Central)

Ranking two weeks ago: 3

Last ten games: 505

Telling stats: 6th in MLB in average with RISP (.288), 5th in MLB in doubles (108), 3rd in MLB in triples (14), 5th in MLB in team ERA (3.38), 2nd in MLB in batting average against (.232), 4th in MLB in average on the road (.267)

 

  1. New York Yankees (33-27, 1st in the AL East)

Ranking two weeks ago: Not ranked

Last ten games: 7-3

Telling stats: 2nd in MLB in runs scored (278), 3rd in MLB in home runs (77), 3rd in AL in runs scored on the road (136), 3rd in AL in average with the bases loaded (.333)

 

Flawed Five

  1. Philadelphia Phillies (22-40, 5th in the NL East)

Telling stats: MLB-worst run -89 differential, 27th in MLB in batting average (.239), MLB-worst 36 home runs, MLB-worst 194 runs scored, 29th in MLB in OBP (.290), 26th in MLB in Team ERA (4.22), MLB-worst .355 winning percentage, 26th in MLB in opponent batting average (.268)

 

  1. Boston Red Sox (27-35, 5th in the AL East)

Telling stats: 29th in MLB in team ERA (4.76), 29th in MLB in starter ERA (4.76), 28th in MLB in opponent batting average with RISP (.290), 1 downright heartbreaker

 

    1. Seattle Mariners (27-34, 4th in the AL West)

Telling stats: Tied for MLB-worst .235 batting average, 29th in MLB in runs scored (208), 1 missing Felix Hernandez

 

  1. Milwaukee Brewers (24-38, 5th in the NL Central)

Telling stats: Tied for MLB-worst .235 batting average, 26th in MLB in runs scored (232), MLB-worst .287 team OBP, 28th in MLB in errors (51)

 

  1. Miami Marlins (26-36, 4th in the NL East)

Telling stats: 27th in MLB in opponent batting average with RISP (.281), 27th in MLB in ERA with the bases loaded (37.45), 25th in MLB in ERA in innings 7-8-9 (4.01), 1 failed managerial experiment

 

 

David Lynch likes to talk about and write about movies, sports, and important happenings around the world. He can be reached at alex.695@hotmail.com or on Twitter @RealDavidLynch.

 

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